With Denmark and Scotland already assured of a top-two finish, this encounter in Piraeus carries far greater weight for pride than progression.

For Greece, this fixture offers a chance to halt the slide and reclaim some self-respect after a torrid campaign. Their defensive structure — once the foundation of their international identity — has collapsed, leaving them exposed to transitions and vulnerable between lines. The numbers underline it: three successive losses, all with three or more goals conceded, have effectively ended their campaign. Still, Jovanović’s side haven’t lost their attacking spark entirely; they’ve failed to score in only one of their last seven internationals, and every WCQ game this cycle has seen a goal between the 60th and 65th minute, signalling both late intensity and instability.

Scotland, by contrast, have evolved into one of Europe’s most stable qualifying outfits. Their recent record — six wins from eight competitive matches (D1, L1) — reflects not only consistency but adaptability. Clarke’s system is now second nature: compact without the ball, fluid in transition, and structured in possession. Expect them to alternate between a mid-block and high press, using McTominay’s forward runs and McGinn’s positional rotations to overload central areas.

The tactical key will be tempo. Greece tend to play in bursts, with Bakasetas and Tzolis driving their attacking rhythm, while Scotland thrive on control — slowing the game, compressing space, and punishing lapses. Ché Adams’ movement off the last defender will aim to exploit Greece’s high line, while Doak’s direct running could stretch the hosts horizontally, creating lanes for late midfield arrivals.

If recent trends hold, Greece may threaten intermittently but struggle to maintain structure. Scotland’s maturity and defensive record — no away goals conceded in 2025 — make them overwhelming favourites to take three points, even if the performance is more efficient than extravagant.